Counting It Out
K J 9 3
A K 10 9
A
K J 10 4
A Q 7 4
Q 6 5
10 8
A 8 5 2
| West |
North |
East |
South |
|
1 ♣ |
Pass |
1 ♠ |
| Pass |
4 ♠ |
Pass |
5 ♣ |
| Pass |
5 NT |
Pass |
7 ♠ |
| All Pass |
|
This is not a great slam, depending on me guessing the
♣ Q.
I sought to find out all I could before making that guess.
I cashed the
♦ A, cashed three rounds of trumps, East
showing up with two. I then ran three hearts, East showing up with two.
Figuring many Easts would find a call over
1 ♣
holding seven diamonds, I figured West started with four or more
diamonds, along with his three spades and four hearts. Therefore, he
probably had two or fewer clubs. That meant that the odds favored East
holding the
♣ Q.
For once the odds were right for me:
K J 9 3
A K 10 9
A
K J 10 4
10 6 2
J 8 3 2
K 6 5 3
9 6
8 5
7 4
Q J 9 7 4 2
Q 7 3
A Q 7 4
Q 6 5
10 8
A 8 5 2
Making was worth 11 Imps, down one would have been -12.7 Imps.